The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Latvia Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

133

Latvia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

106

Latvia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
54.34
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
50.06
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
48.24
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
35.64
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

1,912,789

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

16500

(High income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Latvia - published 20.01.2021

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter and transit Latvia. - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See). 2. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation for 10 days. A list of self-isolation exemptions can be found at www.spkc.gov.lv/lv/if-returning-toentering-latvia 3. Flights from Andorra, Luxembourg, Montenegro, North Macedonia (Rep.) and Serbia to Latvia are suspended. 4. Passengers must complete a "COVIDpass" before departure at https://covidpass.lv/ . This will generate a QR code which must be presented before departure and upon arrival. 5. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 11 years; - merchant seamen; - passengers with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccination certificate.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter and transit Latvia. - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino,
Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See).

2. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation for 10 days. A list of self-isolation exemptions can be found at www.spkc.gov.lv/lv/if-returning-toentering-latvia

3. Flights from Andorra, Luxembourg, Montenegro, North Macedonia (Rep.) and Serbia to Latvia are suspended.

4. Passengers must complete a "COVIDpass" before departure at https://covidpass.lv/ . This will generate a QR code which must be presented before departure and upon arrival.

5. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first
embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 11 years; - merchant seamen; - passengers with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccination certificate.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Latvia Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Latvia	50.06	54.34	1,912,789	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg
Austria	71.36	76.76	8,877,067	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Denmark	79.27	79.15	5,818,553	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Estonia	37.04	46.63	1,326,590	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Ireland	26.18	33.33	4,941,444	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Lithuania	32.10	42.20	2,786,844	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Slovakia	31.86	52.51	5,454,073	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Slovenia	42.92	53.36	2,087,946	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Switzerland	32.52	44.45	8,574,832	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Croatia	65.66	74.54	4,067,500	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	85%
Hungary	27.57	43.86	9,769,949	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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