The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

63


Latvia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

30


Latvia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
68.54
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
64.76
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
50.88
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
40.81
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
1,912,789

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

16500

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter and transit Latvia. - This does not apply to the following passengers who must complete a "COVIDpass" before departure at
https://covidpass.lv/ . This will generate a QR code which must be presented before departure and upon arrival: - residents of Latvia; - residents of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria,
Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway,
Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See) returning via Latvia to their country of residence;
- passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy,
Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City
(Holy See); - military personnel.

2. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation for 10 days. A list of self-isolation exemptions can be found at www.spkc.gov.lv/lv/if-returning-toentering-latvia

3. Flights from Montenegro, North Macedonia (Rep.) and Serbia are suspended.

4. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than
11 years; - merchant seamen.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Latvia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Latvia 64.76 68.54 1,912,789 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)		 Match%
Austria 70.39 76.13 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Denmark 83.22 86.07 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Estonia 37.32 50.22 1,326,590 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Ireland 64.93 75.65 4,941,444 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Lithuania 49.32 62.65 2,786,844 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Slovakia 33.37 45.15 5,454,073 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Slovenia 49.72 61.48 2,087,946 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Switzerland 57.95 72.09 8,574,832 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Croatia 56.84 62.76 4,067,500 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Hungary 19.88 31.91 9,769,949 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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