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Country Rank

58


Latvia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
57.44
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
16.93
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

26.09

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
1,912,789

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

16500

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter and transit Latvia. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia
(Rep.), Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See); - British nationals; - family members of
nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia,
Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland; -family members of British
nationals; - residents of Algeria, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland,
Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Japan, Korea (Rep.), Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Montenegro, Morocco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania,
Rwanda, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Tunisia, United Kingdom and Uruguay; -passengers returning via Latvia to their country of residence;
-students with a written enrolment certification issued by a higher education institution or college in Latvia; - merchant seamen.

2. Passengers are subject to self-isolation for 10 days. A list of self-isolation exemptions can be found at www.spkc.gov.lv/lv/if-returning-toentering-latvia

3. Flights from Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Malta, Portugal, Spain and Sweden to Latvia are suspended.

4. Passengers must present a QR code before departure. The QR code can be obtained by completing the questionnaire on https://covidpass.lv/

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Latvia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Latvia 57.44 1,912,789 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Austria 58.18 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Denmark 79.94 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Estonia 65.30 1,326,590 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Ireland 31.99 4,941,444 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Lithuania 53.39 2,786,844 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Slovakia 22.00 5,454,073 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Slovenia 40.91 2,087,946 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Switzerland 53.21 8,574,832 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Croatia 56.07 4,067,500 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Hungary 28.89 9,769,949 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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