The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Honduras Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

180

Honduras

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

184

Honduras

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

1

Recovery Index
17.76
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

1

Recovery Index
6.62
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
31.92
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
39.35
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

82.61

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

9,746,117

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

2320

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Honduras - published 31.03.2021

1. Passengers arriving from or who in the past 21 days have been in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guyana, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, South Africa, Suriname, United Kingdom, Uruguay or Venezuela are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Honduras. 2. Nationals and residents of Honduras arriving from or who in the past 21 days have been in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guyana, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, South Africa, Suriname, United Kingdom, Uruguay or Venezuela are subject to quarantine for 14 days. 3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 test taken at most 72 hours before arrival. Tests accepted are: antigen, rapid antibody and RT-PCR. 4. A completed "immigration pre-check" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be submitted online before departure at https://prechequeo.inm.gob.hn .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers arriving from or who in the past 21 days have been in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guyana, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, South
Africa, Suriname, United Kingdom, Uruguay or Venezuela are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Honduras.

2. Nationals and residents of Honduras arriving from or who in the past 21 days have been in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guyana, Panama,
Paraguay, Peru, South Africa, Suriname, United Kingdom, Uruguay or Venezuela are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 test taken at most 72 hours before arrival. Tests accepted are: antigen, rapid antibody and RT-PCR.

4. A completed "immigration pre-check" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be submitted online before departure at https://prechequeo.inm.gob.hn .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Honduras Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Honduras	6.62	17.76	9,746,117	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg
Laos	59.86	63.25	7,169,455	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Nicaragua	36.44	42.90	6,545,502	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Timor Leste	30.38	48.81	1,293,119	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Eswatini (Swaziland)	53.08	68.02	1,148,130	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Kyrgyz Republic	59.46	74.00	6,456,900	Medium Density	Lower middle income	< 10 deg	85%
Lesotho	24.85	44.40	2,125,268	Medium Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Moldova	42.71	56.62	2,657,637	Medium Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Costa Rica	40.16	59.68	5,047,561	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Equatorial Guinea	47.67	51.61	1,355,986	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Eritrea	48.97	68.11	3,497,117	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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