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Country Rank

155


Sweden

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

142


Sweden

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
46.17
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
38.79
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
61.52
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
50.21
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
10,285,453

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

55540

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter until 31 March 2021. - Until 31 January 2021, this does not apply to: - nationals of Sweden; - passengers with a residence permit issued by
Sweden; - British nationals and their family members with proof of having submitted an application for residence status in Sweden; - nationals of Andorra, Austria, Belgium,
Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg,
Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See) and their family members, if arriving
from a country other than Denmark or United Kingdom. More details on family members can be found at:
https://polisen.se/en/the-swedish-police/the-coronavirus-and-the-swedish-police/faq/; - passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania,
Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain or Switzerland; - family members of passengers with a residence permit issued by Sweden. They must arrive from a country other than the United Kingdom and
the residence permit must be issued with a validity of more than 3 months; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus,
Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands,
Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland or Vatican City (Holy See) and their family members. They must arrive from a country other
than Denmark or United Kingdom and the residence permit must be issued with a validity of more than 3 months; - passengers with a national visa issued by Andorra, Austria, Belgium,
Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg,
Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or Vatican City (Holy See) and their family members. They
must arrive from a country other than Denmark or United Kingdom and the visa must be issued with a validity of more than 3 months; - residents of Australia, Japan, Korea (Rep.),
New Zealand, Rwanda, Singapore, Thailand and Uruguay if arriving from a country other than Denmark or United Kingdom; - merchant seamen if arriving from a country other than
Denmark or United Kingdom; - military personnel if arriving from a country other than Denmark or United Kingdom; - students if arriving from a country other than Denmark or United
Kingdom. - Effective 1 February 2021, this does not apply to: - nationals of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France,
Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino,
Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See), and their family members. More details on family members can be found at:
https://polisen.se/en/the-swedish-police/the-coronavirus-and-the-swedish-police/faq/; - passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark,
Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain or Switzerland; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or Vatican City (Holy See) and their family members. The residence permit must be issued with a validity of more
than 3 months; - passengers with a national visa issued by Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece,
Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or Vatican City (Holy See) and their family members. The visa must be issued with a validity of more than 3 months; - residents of Australia,
Japan, Korea (Rep.), New Zealand, Rwanda, Singapore, Thailand and Uruguay; - merchant seamen; - military personnel; - students.

2. Expired passports issued by Sweden are accepted if accompanied by a valid national ID card or another valid form of identification document.

3. Passengers residing in Sweden and arriving from the United Kingdom must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been
taken at most 72 hours before arrival. - This does not apply to nationals of Sweden.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Sweden Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Sweden 38.79 46.17 10,285,453 Low Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Finland 62.56 72.61 5,520,314 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Norway 67.80 76.87 5,347,896 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
New Zealand 75.14 93.13 4,917,000 Low Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Oman 57.04 77.15 4,974,986 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Uruguay 48.99 65.65 3,461,734 Low Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Mongolia 62.54 73.13 3,225,167 Low Density Lower middle income < 10 deg 75%
Botswana 41.17 67.97 2,303,697 Low Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Central African Republic 56.63 59.14 4,745,185 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Congo Brazzaville 38.21 59.40 5,380,508 Low Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Gabon 51.20 72.17 2,172,579 Low Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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