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Country Rank

44


Ecuador

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
60.81
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
60.98
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

47.83

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
17,373,662

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

6110

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers arriving without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result issued at most 10 days before arrival are subject to a PCR test upon
arrival and self-isolation for 10 days.

2. A completed "Declaracion de salud del viajero" must be presented upon arrival.

3. Normal passports issued by Ecuador which have expired on 16 March 2020 or later, are considered valid until 28 February 2021. Passengers must have a "Passport validity
extension certificate" and travel with the expired passport.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Ecuador Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Ecuador 60.81 17,373,662 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Dominican Republic 46.75 10,738,958 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Iraq 48.41 39,309,783 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Colombia 54.67 50,339,443 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Cuba 66.87 11,333,483 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Guatemala 52.68 16,604,026 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Jordan 24.12 10,101,694 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Malaysia 65.57 31,949,777 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Venezuela 50.18 28,515,829 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Madagascar 62.91 26,969,307 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 75%
Malawi 51.65 18,628,747 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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