The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Ecuador Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

16

Ecuador

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

33

Ecuador

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.27
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
62.95
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
29.98
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
40.11
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

4.35

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

17,373,662

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

6,110

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Ecuador - published 24.12.2021

1. Passengers arriving from or who have transited through Botswana, Egypt, Eswatini, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa or Zimbabwe are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Ecuador; - permanent residents of Ecuador. 2. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers with a positive COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at least 1 month before departure and a medical certificate stating that they are not contagious. 3. Passengers must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before departure. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Ecuador who left Ecuador before 1 December 2021 and are not fully vaccinated; - passengers younger than 16 years; - passengers with a positive COVID-19 RT-PCR test issued at most 6 months before departure and a medical certificate stating that they could not be vaccinated due to having had COVID-19; - passengers with a medical certificate of contraindication who cannot be vaccinated. 4. A completed "Declaracion de salud del viajero" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be found at https://tinyurl.com/ycbahwjv 5. Passengers are subject to medical screening. 6. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 antigen test upon arrival. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 14 years. 7. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for up to 14 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

1. Passengers arriving from or who have transited through Botswana, Egypt, Eswatini, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa or Zimbabwe are not allowed to enter. - This does
not apply to: - nationals of Ecuador; - permanent residents of Ecuador.

2. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers with a
positive COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at least 1 month before departure and a medical certificate stating that they are not contagious.

3. Passengers must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before departure. - This does not apply to: - nationals of
Ecuador who left Ecuador before 1 December 2021 and are not fully vaccinated; - passengers younger than 16 years; - passengers with a positive COVID-19 RT-PCR test issued at most 6
months before departure and a medical certificate stating that they could not be vaccinated due to having had COVID-19; - passengers with a medical certificate of contraindication
who cannot be vaccinated.

4. A completed "Declaracion de salud del viajero" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be found at https://tinyurl.com/ycbahwjv

5. Passengers are subject to medical screening.

6. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 antigen test upon arrival. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 14 years.

7. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for up to 14 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

Ecuador Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Ecuador	62.95	73.27	17,373,662	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg
Dominican Republic	58.83	63.25	10,738,958	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	100%
Iraq	49.02	60.17	39,309,783	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	100%
Colombia	60.88	64.70	50,339,443	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Cuba	65.28	75.52	11,333,483	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Guatemala	43.82	52.61	16,604,026	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Jordan	59.40	60.38	10,101,694	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Malaysia	76.50	74.91	31,949,777	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Venezuela	50.11	63.76	28,515,829	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Madagascar	49.53	50.52	26,969,307	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	75%
Malawi	45.93	55.22	18,628,747	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.