The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Pakistan Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

70

Pakistan

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

54

Pakistan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
65.89
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
59.03
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
16.02
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
24.70
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

52.17

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

216,565,318

(High Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1590

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Pakistan - published 20.11.2020

1. Flights to Gwadar (GWD) and Turbat (TUK) are suspended. - This does not apply to diplomatic, special and flights of national carriers. 2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. Tests accepted are COVID-19 PCR, COVID-19 Real Time RT-PCR, COVID-19 RT-PCR, SARS-CoV2 GeneXpert, SARS-CoV2 PCR, SARS-CoV2 Real Time RT-PCR, SARS-CoV2 RT-PCR and SARS-CoV2 Xpert Xpress. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers arriving from Australia, China (People's Rep.), Cuba, Estonia, Ghana, Japan, Kazakhstan, Korea (Rep.), Malawi, New Zealand, Norway, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Togo, Turkey, Uruguay, Viet Nam or Zambia. 3. Passengers arriving from Denmark are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test upon arrival. 4. Passengers must download the Pass Track App before boarding and submit their personal details or submit their details at https://passtrack.nitb.gov.pk/ and have a printed confirmation. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers with disabilities. 5. A completed International Passenger Health Declaration Form must be presented before departure. 6. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights to Gwadar (GWD) and Turbat (TUK) are suspended. - This does not apply to diplomatic, special and flights of national carriers.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure from the first
embarkation point. Tests accepted are COVID-19 PCR, COVID-19 Real Time RT-PCR, COVID-19 RT-PCR, SARS-CoV2 GeneXpert, SARS-CoV2 PCR, SARS-CoV2 Real Time RT-PCR, SARS-CoV2 RT-PCR and
SARS-CoV2 Xpert Xpress. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers arriving from Australia, China (People's Rep.), Cuba, Estonia, Ghana, Japan,
Kazakhstan, Korea (Rep.), Malawi, New Zealand, Norway, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Togo, Turkey, Uruguay, Viet Nam or Zambia.

3. Passengers arriving from Denmark are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test upon arrival.

4. Passengers must download the Pass Track App before boarding and submit their personal details or submit their details at https://passtrack.nitb.gov.pk/ and have a printed
confirmation. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers with disabilities.

5. A completed International Passenger Health Declaration Form must be presented before departure.

6. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Pakistan Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Pakistan	59.03	65.89	216,565,318	High Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg
India	65.87	77.85	1,366,417,754	High Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	100%
Philippines	65.14	73.42	108,116,615	High Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Japan	66.00	74.37	126,264,931	High Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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