The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

70


Pakistan

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

54


Pakistan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
65.89
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
59.03
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
16.02
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
24.70
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

52.17

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
216,565,318

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

1590

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Gwadar (GWD) and Turbat (TUK) are suspended. - This does not apply to diplomatic, special and flights of national carriers.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure from the first
embarkation point. Tests accepted are COVID-19 PCR, COVID-19 Real Time RT-PCR, COVID-19 RT-PCR, SARS-CoV2 GeneXpert, SARS-CoV2 PCR, SARS-CoV2 Real Time RT-PCR, SARS-CoV2 RT-PCR and
SARS-CoV2 Xpert Xpress. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers arriving from Australia, China (People's Rep.), Cuba, Estonia, Ghana, Japan,
Kazakhstan, Korea (Rep.), Malawi, New Zealand, Norway, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Togo, Turkey, Uruguay, Viet Nam or Zambia.

3. Passengers arriving from Denmark are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test upon arrival.

4. Passengers must download the Pass Track App before boarding and submit their personal details or submit their details at https://passtrack.nitb.gov.pk/ and have a printed
confirmation. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers with disabilities.

5. A completed International Passenger Health Declaration Form must be presented before departure.

6. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Pakistan Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Pakistan 59.03 65.89 216,565,318 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
India 65.87 77.85 1,366,417,754 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Philippines 65.14 73.42 108,116,615 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Japan 66.00 74.37 126,264,931 High Density High income < 10 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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