The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

20


Cuba

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
66.54
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
15.72
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

65.22

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
11,333,483

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

7480

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Havana (HAV) are suspended. - This does not apply to humanitarian and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers traveling as tourists to Cayo Coco (CCC) must have a reservation confirmation of an approved hotel.

3. Residents of Cuba could be subject to quarantine for 14 days.

4. Passengers arriving in Cuba: - are subject to medical screening; and - must present a completed "Declaraci¯n de Sanidad del Viajero".

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Cuba Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, weā€™ve found that focusing on the countryā€™s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Cuba 66.54 11,333,483 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Colombia 56.34 50,339,443 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Guatemala 56.31 16,604,026 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Malaysia 65.28 31,949,777 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Venezuela 51.31 28,515,829 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Dominican Republic 49.82 10,738,958 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Ecuador 61.09 17,373,662 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Iraq 49.45 39,309,783 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Jordan 19.86 10,101,694 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Cambodia 60.05 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Cameroon 55.82 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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