The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Cuba Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

20

Cuba

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

44

Cuba

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
78.14
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
61.44
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
16.64
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
17.55
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

86.96

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

11,333,483

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

7480

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Cuba - published 25.03.2021

1. Passengers must have a printed negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival. - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Poland; - This does not apply to passengers arriving on Air Canada (AC), Air Transat (TS) or West Jet (WS). 2. Passengers arriving from Poland must have a printed negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at most 5 days before arrival. 3. Passengers are subject a COVID-19 PCR test upon arrival; and - subject to medical screening; and - subject to self-isolation. 4. A completed "Declaracion de Sanidad del Viajero" must be presented upon arrival. 5. Passengers must pay a health tax of USD 30.- or equivalent. 6. Nationals of Cuba residing in Cuba are allowed to enter with an expired passport that was issued after 1 January 2014. 7. Normal passports issued after 1 January 2014 to nationals of Cuba residing in Cuba that have not been revalidated with a "Prorroga" sticker are accepted for entry.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers must have a printed negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival. - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Poland; - This does
not apply to passengers arriving on Air Canada (AC), Air Transat (TS) or West Jet (WS).

2. Passengers arriving from Poland must have a printed negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at most 5 days before arrival.

3. Passengers are subject a COVID-19 PCR test upon arrival; and - subject to medical screening; and - subject to self-isolation.

4. A completed "Declaracion de Sanidad del Viajero" must be presented upon arrival.

5. Passengers must pay a health tax of USD 30.- or equivalent.

6. Nationals of Cuba residing in Cuba are allowed to enter with an expired passport that was issued after 1 January 2014.

7. Normal passports issued after 1 January 2014 to nationals of Cuba residing in Cuba that have not been revalidated with a "Prorroga" sticker are accepted for entry.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Cuba Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Cuba	61.44	78.14	11,333,483	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg
Colombia	56.05	71.68	50,339,443	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Guatemala	53.24	67.77	16,604,026	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Malaysia	71.30	82.56	31,949,777	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Venezuela	45.18	62.95	28,515,829	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Dominican Republic	41.14	63.52	10,738,958	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Ecuador	51.61	59.65	17,373,662	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Iraq	45.50	57.60	39,309,783	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Jordan	46.49	53.46	10,101,694	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Cambodia	35.21	46.52	16,486,542	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Cameroon	30.78	37.30	25,876,380	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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