The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Hungary Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

173

Hungary

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

1

Recovery Index
26.21
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
27.46
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

39.13

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

9,769,949

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

14760

(High income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Hungary - published 05.10.2020

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Hungary, and their family members; - passengers with a permanent residence permit issued by Hungary, and their family members; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Hungary with a validity longer than 90 days; - passengers with a "D" visa issued by Hungary; - passengers transiting Hungary to another country. They must be able to prove that they are allowed to enter the final destination, or prove that they can enter a neighboring country in order to reach their final destination; - passengers traveling on business; - passengers arriving for cultural or sport events in Hungary with a personal invitation letter issued by the official organizer of the event or with a valid ticket for the event. They must have a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 3 days before arrival; - passengers with a signed and stamped letter issued by the Deputy-Chief Officer of the National Police; - nationals of Czechia, Poland and Slovakia. They must have a confirmed booking of accommodation of at least one night booked before 6 October 2020, and a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 5 days before arrival. 2. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 10 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Hungary, and their family members; - passengers with a permanent residence permit issued by
Hungary, and their family members; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Hungary with a validity longer than 90 days; - passengers with a "D" visa issued by Hungary; -
passengers transiting Hungary to another country. They must be able to prove that they are allowed to enter the final destination, or prove that they can enter a neighboring
country in order to reach their final destination; - passengers traveling on business; - passengers arriving for cultural or sport events in Hungary with a personal invitation
letter issued by the official organizer of the event or with a valid ticket for the event. They must have a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 3 days
before arrival; - passengers with a signed and stamped letter issued by the Deputy-Chief Officer of the National Police; - nationals of Czechia, Poland and Slovakia. They must have
a confirmed booking of accommodation of at least one night booked before 6 October 2020, and a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at
most 5 days before arrival.

2. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 10 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Hungary Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Hungary	26.21	9,769,949	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg
Croatia	48.58	4,067,500	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	100%
Austria	53.97	8,877,067	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Denmark	77.24	5,818,553	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Estonia	66.40	1,326,590	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Ireland	30.86	4,941,444	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Kuwait	59.20	4,207,083	Medium Density	High income	21-25 deg	85%
Latvia	52.41	1,912,789	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Lithuania	49.73	2,786,844	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Panama	40.40	4,246,439	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	85%
Qatar	65.31	2,832,067	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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