The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

157


France

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

133


France

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
45.63
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
41.36
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
55.96
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
50.43
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

78.26

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
67,059,887

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

41090

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of France and their spouses and children; - nationals of Andorra, Monaco, San Marino, Switzerland,
Vatican City (Holy See) and an EEA Member State and their spouses and children; - British nationals who are beneficiaries of the Agreement on withdrawal of the United Kingdom of
Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union and the European Atomic Energy Community, and their family members; - passengers arriving from Andorra, Australia,
Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea (Rep.), Latvia,
Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, New-Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden,
Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See). They must have not been outside these countries in the past 14 days; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Andorra,
Monaco, San Marino, Switzerland, Vatican City (Holy See) or an EEA Member State; - merchant seamen; - students; - passengers with a Laissez-Passer.

2. Passengers entering or transiting through France must present a completed Travel Certificate before boarding and to immigration upon arrival obtained at
https://tinyurl.com/104zuyhq. - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Andorra, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland,
Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea (Rep.), Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, New-Zealand,
Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See). They must have not been outside
these countries in the past 14 days;

3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 molecular test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does
not apply to: - passengers younger than 11 years; - deadheading crew; - merchant seamen; - French military personnel returning from a mission abroad.

4. Passengers must have a completed sworn statement obtained at https://tinyurl.com/104zuyhq. - This does not apply to deadheading crew.

5. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 PCR test and quarantine upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


France Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

France 41.36 45.63 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Germany 60.24 72.82 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Italy 37.83 56.46 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Congo Democratic Republic 52.08 64.82 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Egypt 40.89 49.01 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Iran 39.41 53.08 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Kenya 39.94 48.12 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Myanmar 62.10 83.59 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
South Africa 66.55 75.69 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Tanzania 33.68 40.19 58,005,463 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Thailand 67.30 74.71 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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