The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

37


Philippines

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

28


Philippines

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.42
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
65.14
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
21.00
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
25.58
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

78.26

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
108,116,615

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

3830

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. This does not apply to: - nationals of the Philippines; - spouses, minors or children with special needs of nationals of the Philippines; -
parents of a minor or a child with special needs who is a national of the Philippines; - passengers with a 13(a), 13(b), 13(c), 13(d), 13(e), 13(g), 47(a)(2), RA 7919, EO226, EO324
or Native-born visa issued by the Philippines; - passengers with a visa issued by Aurora Pacific Economic Zone and Freeport Authority, and Subic Bay Metropolitan Authority; -
merchant seamen with a 9(c) visa issued by the Philippines.

2. Suspension of all visa exemptions and visa on arrival facilities.

3. Passengers are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense and to quarantine.

4. Passengers must have a reservation confirmation of a hotel approved by Tourism and Health Agencies.

5. A completed "Case Investigation Form" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be obtained at https://c19.redcross.org.ph/arriving-passengers .

6. Passengers traveling to Davao (DVO) must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 72 hours before departure.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Philippines Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Philippines 65.14 73.42 108,116,615 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
India 65.87 77.85 1,366,417,754 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Pakistan 59.03 65.89 216,565,318 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Japan 66.00 74.37 126,264,931 High Density High income < 10 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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