The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

10


Belarus

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

28


Belarus

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
84.64
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
65.07
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
20.72
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
33.59
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

21.74

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
9,466,856

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

5700

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 3 days before arrival. Certificates
issued in a language other than Belarusian, English or Russian, must be printed and accompanied by a printed certified translation. - This does not apply to: - nationals and
residents of Belarus; - passengers with a diplomatic or service passport; - passengers younger than 6 years.

2. Passengers are subject to self-isolation for 10 days if arriving from a country listed at http://minzdrav.gov.by/ru/dlya-belorusskikh-grazhdan/strany-krasnoy-zony.php.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Belarus Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Belarus 65.07 84.64 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Armenia 44.72 46.70 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 100%
Georgia 55.75 71.50 3,720,382 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 100%
North Macedonia 22.38 38.07 2,083,459 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 100%
Albania 23.91 50.14 2,854,191 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Azerbaijan 40.36 52.92 10,023,318 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 24.78 38.67 3,301,000 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Bulgaria 24.57 47.56 6,975,761 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Costa Rica 40.16 59.68 5,047,561 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Equatorial Guinea 47.67 51.61 1,355,986 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Serbia 35.40 50.39 6,944,975 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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