The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

50


Bulgaria

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

77


Bulgaria

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
60.42
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
47.57
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
15.07
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
44.30
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

60.87

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
6,975,761

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

8,860

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Until 31 July 2021, passengers arriving from Argentina, Bangladesh, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Rep., El Salvador,
Guatemala, India, Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal, Oman, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Seychelles, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tajikistan,
Tanzania, Tunisia, Turkmenistan, Uruguay or Zambia are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members;

2. Passengers must enter Bulgaria via Burgas (BOJ), Plovdiv (PDV),Sofia (SOF) or Varna (VAR).

3. Nationals and residents of Bulgaria and their family members without a COVID-19 test or vaccination certificate are subject to quarantine. Tests and vaccines accepted are: - a
negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a negative COVID-19 rapid antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival,
written in Latin characters; or - a positive COVID-19 PCR or rapid antigen test taken at least 15 days and at most 180 days before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate
showing that they received the vaccine at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), AZD1222 (SK Bioscience Co Ltd.), Covieshield, Janssen,
Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

4. Passengers with a "D" visa issued by Bulgaria, must have: - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a negative
COVID-19 rapid antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a positive COVID-19 PCR or rapid antigen test taken at least 15 days and at
most 180 days before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they received the vaccine at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca
(Vaxzevria), AZD1222 (SK Bioscience Co Ltd.), Covieshield, Janssen, Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V. -This does not apply to passengers younger than 12
years.

5. Nationals and residents of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy,
Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or Vatican
City (Holy See) and their family members, must have: - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a negative COVID-19
rapid antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a positive COVID-19 PCR or rapid antigen test taken at least 15 days and at most 180
days before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they received the vaccine at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria),
AZD1222 (SK Bioscience Co Ltd.), Covieshield, Janssen, Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Romania arriving from
Romania; - nationals of Czechia arriving from Czechia; - passengers younger than 12 years.

6. Passengers with a British passport with nationality "British Citizen", "British Overseas Territories Citizen" issued by Gibraltar or British Passports with a Certificate of
Entitlement to the Right of Abode issued by the United Kingdom, must have: - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a
negative COVID-19 rapid antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a positive COVID-19 PCR or rapid antigen test taken at least 15 days
and at most 180 days before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they received the vaccine at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are:
AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), AZD1222 (SK Bioscience Co Ltd.), Covieshield, Janssen, Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V. -This does not apply to passengers
younger than 12 years.

7. Nationals of Australia, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, China (People's Rep.), Israel, Japan, Korea (Rep.), Kosovo (Rep.), Kuwait, Moldova (Rep.), Montenegro, New
Zealand, North Macedonia (Rep.), Russian Fed., Rwanda, Serbia, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, USA and Uruguay must have: - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at
most 72 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a negative COVID-19 rapid antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters; or - a
positive COVID-19 PCR or rapid antigen test taken at least 15 days and at most 180 days before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they received the
vaccine at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), AZD1222 (SK Bioscience Co Ltd.), Covieshield, Janssen, Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, Sinopharm,
Sinovac and Sputnik V. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

8. Passengers must have a positive COVID-19 PCR or rapid antigen test taken at least 15 days and at most 180 days before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing
that they received the vaccine at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), AZD1222 (SK Bioscience Co Ltd.), Covieshield, Janssen, Moderna,
Pfizer-BioNTech, Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark,
Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland,
Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or Vatican City (Holy See) and their family members; - passengers with a "D" visa issued by Bulgaria;
- passengers with a British passport with nationality "British Citizen", "British Overseas Territories Citizen" issued by Gibraltar or British Passports with a Certificate of
Entitlement to the Right of Abode issued by the United Kingdom - nationals of Australia, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, China (People's Rep.), Israel, Japan, Korea
(Rep.), Kosovo (Rep.), Kuwait, Moldova (Rep.), Montenegro, New Zealand, North Macedonia (Rep.), Russian Fed., Rwanda, Serbia, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, USA
and Uruguay.

9. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

10. More details can be found at https://www.mh.government.bg/media/filer_public/2021/07/02/rd-01-547-en_final.pdf

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Bulgaria Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Bulgaria 47.57 60.42 6,975,761 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Albania 56.31 64.83 2,854,191 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Azerbaijan 51.68 67.60 10,023,318 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 40.24 51.51 3,301,000 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Serbia 64.18 74.95 6,944,975 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Armenia 43.53 46.32 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Belarus 50.84 65.71 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Costa Rica 23.01 32.74 5,047,561 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Equatorial Guinea 44.76 48.15 1,355,986 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Georgia 28.84 32.14 3,720,382 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
North Macedonia 48.27 51.83 2,083,459 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.




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Recognition and Award:

Chairman's Award



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