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Country Rank

148


Canada

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

61


Canada

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
49.38
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
58.58
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
59.10
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
24.72
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

39.13

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
37,589,262

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

44,950

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Until 31 January 2022, passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Canada; - permanent residents of Canada; - persons registered under Canada's
Indian Act with the Certificate of Indian Status (CIS) or the Secure Certificate of Indian Status (SCIS); - passengers with a Canadian Refugee Travel Document or a Single Journey
Document for Resettlement to Canada; - immediate family members of nationals of Canada, of permanent residents of Canada and of persons registered under Canada's Indian Act. They
must stay for at least 15 days and have a quarantine plan. Staying for less than 15 days is allowed if they have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully
vaccinated at least 15 days (day of vaccination + 14 days) before arrival. The certificate must be in English, French or accompanied by a certified English or French translation.
Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Covishield), AstraZeneca (SK Bioscience), AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm
or Sinovac. A combination of vaccines is accepted. - extended family members of nationals of Canada, of permanent residents of Canada and of persons registered under Canada's
Indian Act. They must stay for at least 15 days, have a quarantine plan, and have a written authorization issued by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC). Staying for
less than 15 days is allowed if they have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 15 days (day of vaccination + 14 days) before arrival.
The certificate must be in English, French or accompanied by a certified English or French translation. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Covishield), AstraZeneca (SK
Bioscience), AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm or Sinovac. A combination of vaccines is accepted. - passengers
with an authorization from the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC); - passengers with a letter of authorization from the Deputy Minister of Canadian Heritage (PCH); - passengers
with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate uploaded in ArriveCAN showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 15 days (day of vaccination + 14 days) before arrival. The
certificate must be in English, French or accompanied by a certified English or French translation. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Covishield), AstraZeneca (SK Bioscience),
AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm or Sinovac. A combination of vaccines is accepted. - passengers younger than
12 years accompanied by a guardian with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate uploaded in ArriveCAN showing that the guardian was fully vaccinated at least 15 days (day of vaccination
+ 14 days) before arrival. The certificate must be in English, French or accompanied by a certified English or French translation. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Covishield),
AstraZeneca (SK Bioscience), AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm or Sinovac. A combination of vaccines is
accepted. - passengers arriving directly from the USA and traveling on an essential purpose listed on https://tinyurl.com/4absxrpa - passengers with a study permit or a
post-graduation work permit, issued by Canada. They must be attending a designated learning institution (DLI) with a COVID-19 readiness plan approved by its province or territory.
They must travel only to attend their study; - passengers with an application for permanent residence. They must have a written notice issued under the Immigration and Refugee
Protection Act; - members of the Canadian forces traveling on duty, and their immediate family members; - more exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/s4tbrc8

2. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 test taken at most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Canada. The test result must not be issued in India or
Morocco. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S gene, ddPCR,
isothermal amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS. More details can be found at https://tinyurl.com/uuf5nntc - This does not
apply to: - passengers younger than 5 years; - passengers with a positive COVID-19 test taken at least 14 days and at most 180 days before departure of the last direct flight to
Canada. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S gene, ddPCR,
isothermal amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS; - passengers arriving directly from India; - passengers arriving directly
from Morocco; - more exemption can be found via https://travel.gc.ca/travel-covid/travel-restrictions/exemptions

3. Passengers and airline crew must submit their information electronically, at most 72 hours before arrival, through the ArriveCAN app or the website
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/coronavirus-disease-covid-19/arrivecan.html . Passengers must present an ArriveCAN receipt before boarding.

4. Passengers arriving directly from India must have a negative COVID-19 test taken at most 18 hours before departure. The test result must be issued by the laboratory Genestrings
at the New Delhi airport (DEL) and have a QR code. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp
gene, detection of the S gene, ddPCR, isothermal amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS. - This does not apply to: - passengers
younger than 5 years; - passengers with a positive COVID-19 test taken at least 14 days and at most 180 days before departure. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E
gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S gene, ddPCR, isothermal amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA,
RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS.

5. Passengers arriving directly from Morocco must have a negative COVID-19 test taken at most 72 hours before departure. The test result must be issued by Morocco and have a QR
code. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S gene, ddPCR, isothermal
amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 5 years; - passengers with a
positive COVID-19 test taken at least 14 days and at most 180 days before departure. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of
Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S gene, ddPCR, isothermal amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS.

6. Passengers must arrive at Abbotsford International (YXX), Calgary (YYC), Edmonton (YEG), Halifax (YHZ), John C. Munro Hamilton International (YHM), Kelowna International (YLW),
Montreal (YUL), Ottawa (YOW), Quebec (YQB), Regina International (YQR), Region of Waterloo International (YKF), Saskatoon John G. Diefenbaker International (YXE), St. John's
International (YYT), Toronto Pearson (YYZ), Toronto Billy Bishop (YTZ), Vancouver (YVR), Victoria International (YYJ) or Winnipeg (YWG). - This does not apply to passengers
arriving on direct flights from St. Pierre and Miquelon.

7. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 14 days; details can be found at https://travel.gc.ca/travel-covid/travel-restrictions/flying-canada-checklist - This does not
apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years traveling with their vaccinated parents/guardians; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully
vaccinated at least 15 days (day of vaccination + 14 days) before arrival. The certificate must be in English or French or be accompanied by a certified translation to English or
French. - Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Covishield), AstraZeneca (SK Bioscience), AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty),
Sinopharm or Sinovac. A combination of vaccines is accepted. - More details can be found at
https://travel.gc.ca/travel-covid/travel-restrictions/covid-vaccinated-travellers-entering-canada

8. Passenger could be subject to COVID-19 molecular test upon arrival. Details can be found at
https://travel.gc.ca/travel-covid/travel-restrictions/covid-vaccinated-travellers-entering-canada for vaccinated passengers and
https://travel.gc.ca/travel-covid/travel-restrictions/exemptions#unvaccinated for unvaccinated passengers.

9. All travel restrictions may be prolonged as necessary for public health reasons.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)


Canada Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Canada 58.58 49.38 37,589,262 Low Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Chile 62.75 61.70 18,952,038 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Australia 54.72 49.68 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Saudi Arabia 76.83 76.89 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Kazakhstan 55.28 81.95 18,513,930 Low Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Algeria 29.47 52.08 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 49.34 64.19 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 67.84 63.20 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Bolivia 50.98 63.91 11,513,100 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Chad 45.36 52.56 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Mali 49.16 55.63 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.




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