The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

86


India

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

115


India

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
52.14
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
40.06
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
22.86
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
26.83
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

82.61

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
1,366,417,754

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

2,020

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Until 30 April 2021, flights to India are suspended. - This does not apply to relief, repatriation and humanitarian flights.

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. This does not apply to: - nationals of India; - residents of India; - nationals of Nepal and Bhutan; - passengers with an Overseas Citizen
of India (OCI) card or booklet; - passengers with a Persons of Indian Origin (PIO) card; - passengers with a visa (excluding medical visas issued on or before 21 October 2020, and
tourist visas(Type T)) issued by India; - passengers with an E-visa (excluding E-Tourist visas) issued by India; - passengers returning from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan,
Maldives or Nepal via India to their country of residence.

3. Passengers are not allowed to transit through Bangalore (BLR), Chennai (MAA), Delhi (DEL), Hyderabad (HYD), Kolkata (CCU) or Mumbai (BOM) to a third country.

4. E-Tourist visas and tourist visas (Type T) are no longer valid.

5. Medical visas issued on or before 21 October 2020 are no longer valid.

6. Passengers must complete the self-declaration form at www.newdelhiairport.in before departure.

7. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the
first embarkation point. The test must be uploaded at www.newdelhiairport.in .

8. Passengers arriving from Afghanistan, Bahrain, France, Germany, Iraq, Kuwait, Netherlands, Oman, Qatar, Russian Fed., Ukraine or United Arab Emirates are subject to a
Coronavirus (COVID-19) molecular test upon arrival at their own expense.

9. Passengers arriving from Brazil, South Africa or United Kingdom are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) molecular test upon arrival and another test on day 7 at their own
expense.

10. Passengers are subject to medical screening

11. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for up to 14 days. Details can be found at https://www.mohfw.gov.in/pdf/Guidelinesforinternationalarrivals17022021.pdf .

12. Airline crew who are arriving from or have transited through the United Kingdom: - must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result.
The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point; and - are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


India Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

India 40.06 52.14 1,366,417,754 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Pakistan 44.55 53.92 216,565,318 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Philippines 48.95 54.71 108,116,615 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Japan 50.65 60.05 126,264,931 High Density High income < 10 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.




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