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Country Rank

34


Japan

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

35


Japan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
66.18
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
62.07
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
12.72
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
13.20
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

52.17

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
126,264,931

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

41,310

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter if in the past 14 days they have been in Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Andorra, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Armenia, Austria,
Azerbaijan, Bahamas, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Barbados, Belarus, Belgium, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Botswana, Brazil, Bulgaria, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Cape
Verde, Central African Rep., Chile, Comoros, Congo, Congo (Dem. Rep.), Colombia, Costa Rica, Cote d'Ivoire, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Djibouti, Dominica, Dominican
Rep., Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Equatorial Guinea, Estonia, Eswatini (Swaziland), Ethiopia, Finland, France, Gabon, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Grenada, Guatemala,
Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Hungary, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Italy, Jamaica, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kosovo (Rep.),
Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia, Maldives, Malta, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mexico,
Moldova (Rep.), Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro, Morocco, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal, Netherlands, Nicaragua, Nigeria, North Macedonia (Rep.), Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Palestinian
Territory, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russian Fed., Rwanda, San Marino, Sao Tome and Principe, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia,
Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Slovakia, Slovenia, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Spain, Sri Lanka, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Sudan, Suriname,
Sweden, Switzerland, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Turkey, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, Uruguay, USA, Uzbekistan, Vatican City
(Holy See), Venezuela, Zambia or Zimbabwe. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Japan; - spouses or children of nationals of Japan if they can prove it; - passengers with a
Special Permanent Residence Permit. They must also have a Re-entry Permit or an Embarkation and Disembarkation Card; - residents of Japan with a re-entry permit if they in the past
14 days have not been in Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan or Sri Lanka; - residents of Japan with a re-entry permit who in the past 14 days have been in
India, Nepal or Pakistan. They must have the status of "Permanent Resident", "Spouse or Child of a Japanese National", "Spouse or Child of a Permanent Resident" or "Long Term
Resident", and they must have left Japan by 13 May 2021; - residents of Japan with a re-entry permit who in the past 14 days have been in Bangladesh or Maldives. They must have the
status of "Permanent Resident", "Spouse or Child of a Japanese National", "Spouse or Child of a Permanent Resident" or "Long Term Resident", and they must have left Japan by 19 May
2021; - residents of Japan with a re-entry permit who in the past 14 days have been in Sri Lanka. They must have the status of "Permanent Resident", "Spouse or Child of a Japanese
National", "Spouse or Child of a Permanent Resident" or "Long Term Resident", and they must have left Japan by 20 May 2021; - residents of Japan with a re-entry permit who in the
past 14 days have been in Afghanistan. They must have the status of "Permanent Resident", "Spouse or Child of a Japanese National", "Spouse or Child of a Permanent Resident" or
"Long Term Resident", and they must have left Japan by 2 June 2021; - passengers with a visa issued by Japan outside Japan. The date of issue must be later than the date when the
country of issue was designated by Japan as an area subject to landing denial (details can be found at http://www.moj.go.jp/isa/content/001347332.pdf ); - passengers with a
diplomatic or an official visa issued by Japan; - passengers with a single or multiple-entry visa issued on or before 2 April 2020 by Japanese Embassies or Consulates General in
Australia, New Zealand and Taipei Kaohsiung offices of Japan-Taiwan Exchange Association; - US military personnel; - civilian personnel of the US armed forces in Japan and their
dependents; - merchant seamen; - passengers with an Olympic Identity and Accreditation Card (OIAC) or Paralympic Identity and Accreditation Card (PIAC) (including cards in
Pre-Valid Card (PVC) format). They must also have a Written Pledge; - passengers with an Invitation Letter issued by Tokyo 2020 Organizing Committee and a "Prior Consent Form" to
the Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan (MEXT).

2. Passengers must complete a "Quarantine Questionnaire" at https://arqs-qa.followup.mhlw.go.jp/ . This will generate a QR code which must be presented upon arrival.

3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 test result. Tests accepted are LAMP, NEAR, Next Generation Sequence, quantitative antigen (CLEIA), RT-PCR, Smart Amp, TMA or TRC. The
test must: - specify that it is based on nasopharyngeal swab, saliva, or nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab; and - be taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first
international embarkation point; and - be in English. Details can be found at https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/000800272.pdf and https://www.mofa.go.jp/ca/fna/page25e_000334.html . -
This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 6 years; - passengers with a diplomatic or an official visa issued by Japan; - US military personnel; - civilian personnel of the
US armed forces in Japan and their dependents; - passengers with a consular letter specifying why the test could not be taken.

4. Passengers are subject to COVID-19 test after arrival and quarantine for 14 days; details can be found at https://www.mofa.go.jp/ca/fna/page4e_001053.html .

5. Visa exemption for passengers with a British passport, Chinese Taipei (on the cover: Republic of China Taiwan) passport, Hong Kong (SAR China) passport and Macao (SAR China)
passport is suspended.

6. Visa exemption for nationals of Andorra, Argentina, Australia, Austria, Bahamas, Barbados, Belgium, Brunei Darussalam, Bulgaria, Costa Rica, Croatia, Czechia, Cyprus, Denmark,
Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, Iceland, Indonesia, Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Italy, Korea (Rep.), Latvia,
Lesotho, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malaysia, Malta, Mexico, Monaco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Peru, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Singapore, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Spain, Suriname, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay and Vatican City (Holy See) is suspended.

7. Visa exemption for nationals of Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Colombia, Georgia, India, Kazakhstan, Lao People's Dem. Rep., Mongolia, Myanmar, Nauru, Oman, Pakistan, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Qatar, Samoa, Solomon Isl., Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan and Viet Nam with a diplomatic, official or service passport is suspended.

8. Visa exemption granted to passengers with an APEC Business Travel Card issued by Australia, Brunei Darussalam, China (People's Rep.), Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (SAR China),
Indonesia, Korea (Rep.), Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Philippines, Russian Fed., Singapore, Thailand or Viet Nam, is suspended.

9. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) with a passport issued in Hubei Province or Zhejiang Province (China People's Rep.) are not allowed to enter Japan. - This does not apply
when passengers can prove that they have not been in Hubei Province and Zhejiang Province the last 14 days.

10. Visas issued on or before 8 March 2020 by a diplomatic representation of Japan in China (People's Rep.), Hong Kong (SAR China), Korea (Rep.) or Macao (SAR China) are
invalidated.

11. Visas issued on or before 20 March 2020 by a diplomatic representation of Japan in Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Cyprus, Denmark, Egypt, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See) are invalidated.

12. Visas issued on or before 27 March 2020 by a diplomatic representation of Japan in Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, Congo (Dem. Rep.), Indonesia, Israel, Malaysia, Philippines,
Qatar, Singapore, Thailand or Viet Nam are invalidated.

13. Visas issued on or before 2 April 2020 by a diplomatic representation of Japan in Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Azerbaijan, Bahamas,
Bangladesh, Barbados, Belarus, Belize, Benin, Bhutan, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Rep., Chad, Colombia, Comoros, Congo, Cook
Isl., Costa Rica, Cuba, Djibouti, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Eswatini (Swaziland), Ethiopia, Fiji, Gabon, Gambia, Georgia, Ghana, Grenada, Guatemala,
Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, India, Iraq, Jamaica, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kiribati, Kyrgyzstan, Kuwait, Lao People's Dem. Rep., Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia,
Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Maldives, Mali, Marshall Isl., Mauritania, Mexico, Micronesia (Federated States), Mongolia, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Nauru, Nepal, Nicaragua, Niger,
Nigeria, Niue, Oman, Pakistan, Palau, Palestinian Territory, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Russian Fed., Rwanda, Samoa, Sao Tome and Principe, Saudi Arabia, Senegal,
Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Solomon Isl., Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sri Lanka, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Sudan, Suriname, Syria,
Tajikistan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tonga, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Turkmenistan, Tuvalu, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu, Venezuela,
Yemen, Zambia or Zimbabwe are invalidated.

14. Passengers transiting through Tokyo (NRT) must transit on the same calendar day.

15. Visas issued with "EX-B" or "EX-R" in the Remarks column by a diplomatic representation of Japan in Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China (People's Rep.), Chinese Taipei, Korea
(Rep.), Lao People's Dem. Rep., Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, Thailand or Viet Nam are not accepted for entry.

16. Passengers must install the "MySOS" mobile app.

17. Passengers with an Olympic Identity and Accreditation Card (OIAC) or Paralympic Identity and Accreditation Card (PIAC) (including cards in Pre-Valid Card (PVC) format) must
present a QR code from the app OCHA before departure and upon arrival. - This does not apply to: - passengers with a "Prior Consent Form" to the Minister of Foreign Affairs of
Japan (MOFA) or the Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan (MEXT); - passengers with a Written Pledge.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Japan Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Japan 62.07 66.18 126,264,931 High Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
India 53.44 58.63 1,366,417,754 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Pakistan 46.99 54.36 216,565,318 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Philippines 50.72 56.79 108,116,615 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.




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