The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

13


Saudi Arabia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
71.10
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
48.91
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
34,268,528

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

21600

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Saudi Arabia are suspended. - This does not apply to humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights. These flights are subject to prior approval from GACA.

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates. They must have not been in Argentina,
Brazil or India in the past 14 days; - residents of Saudi Arabia. They must have not been in Argentina, Brazil or India in the past 14 days; - passengers with an exit/entry, work,
residence or visit visa issued by Saudi Arabia. They must have not been in Argentina, Brazil or India in the past 14 days.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the
first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Saudi Arabia; - passengers younger than 8 years.

4. Passengers could be subject to quarantine.

5. A completed health disclaimer form must be presented upon arrival.

6. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities.

7. Suspension of e-visa issuance.

8. Airlines can check the validity of the exit/entry visas for residents of Saudi Arabia at https://muqeem.sa/#/visa-validity/check

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Saudi Arabia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Saudi Arabia 71.10 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Australia 86.75 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Canada 74.77 37,589,262 Low Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Chile 70.46 18,952,038 Low Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Somalia 47.47 15,442,905 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 75%
South Sudan 36.62 11,062,113 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 75%
Algeria 42.89 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 33.43 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 47.36 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Bolivia 45.54 11,513,100 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Chad 54.05 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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