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Country Rank

163


Serbia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

149


Serbia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
35.91
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
34.98
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
64.90
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
50.61
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

30.43

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
6,944,975

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

6,390

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must have: - a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at most 48 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully
vaccinated. The certificate must be issued by Armenia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Egypt, Georgia, Greece, Hungary, India, Lebanon, Moldova (Rep.), Morocco, Romania, San Marino,
Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Tunisia, Turkey or United Arab Emirates. Details can be found at https://www.mfa.gov.rs/en/citizens/travel-serbia/covid-19-entry-requirements ; or - a
COVID-19 recovery certificate issued in Andorra, Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Denmark, Germany, Greece, Luxembourg, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland,
Tunisia, Turkey or USA. Passengers must have tested positive at least 14 days and at most 6 months before arrival. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Serbia; -
nationals of Slovenia; - nationals of Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Hungary, Montenegro and North Macedonia (Rep.) if arriving from their country of nationality; -
passengers arriving from USA; - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers between 12 years and 18 years. They must take an antigen or RT-PCR test within 48 hours after
arrival; - passengers traveling on business with an email confirmation from the Serbian Chamber of Commerce; - passengers in transit for less than 12 hours; - students who are
nationals of Croatia studying in Serbia; - military personnel traveling on duty.

2. Passengers arriving from the USA must have: - a negative COVID-19 antigen or RT-PCR test result issued at most 48 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate
showing that they were fully vaccinated. The certificate must be issued by Armenia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Egypt, Georgia, Greece, Hungary, India, Lebanon, Moldova (Rep.),
Morocco, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Tunisia, Turkey or United Arab Emirates. Details can be found at
https://www.mfa.gov.rs/en/citizens/travel-serbia/covid-19-entry-requirements ; or - a COVID-19 recovery certificate issued in Andorra, Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Denmark, Germany,
Greece, Luxembourg, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland, Tunisia, Turkey or USA. Passengers must have tested positive at least 14 days and at most 6 months
before arrival. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Serbia; - nationals of Slovenia; - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers between 12 years and 18
years. They must take an antigen or RT-PCR test within 48 hours after arrival; - passengers traveling on business with an email confirmation from the Serbian Chamber of Commerce; -
passengers in transit for less than 12 hours; - students who are nationals of Croatia studying in Serbia; - military personnel traveling on duty.

3. Nationals and residents of Serbia are subject to home quarantine for 10 days. - This does not apply to: - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate stating that they
received the first vaccine dose of AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), or - showing that they were fully vaccinated. - passengers with a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result issued at most 48
hours before arrival; - passengers arriving from the USA with a negative COVID-19 rapid antigen test issued at most 48 hours before arrival; - passengers with a COVID-19 recovery
certificate issued in Andorra, Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Denmark, Germany, Greece, Luxembourg, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland, Tunisia, Turkey or USA.
The passenger must have tested positive at least 14 days and at most 6 months before arrival; - passengers arriving from Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia,
Hungary, India, Kosovo (Rep.), Montenegro or North Macedonia (Rep.); - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers between 12 years and 18 years. They must take an antigen or
RT-PCR test within 48 hours after arrival; - passengers traveling on business with an email confirmation from the Serbian Chamber of Commerce; - airline crew.

4. Nationals of Slovenia must have: - a negative COVID-19 antigen or RT-PCR test result issued at most 48 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing
that they were fully vaccinated. The certificate must be issued by Armenia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Egypt, Georgia, Greece, Hungary, India, Lebanon, Moldova (Rep.), Morocco,
Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Tunisia, Turkey or United Arab Emirates. Details can be found at
https://www.mfa.gov.rs/en/citizens/travel-serbia/covid-19-entry-requirements ; or - a COVID-19 recovery certificate issued in Andorra, Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Denmark, Germany,
Greece, Luxembourg, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland, Tunisia, Turkey or USA. Passengers must have tested positive at least 14 days and at most 6 months
before arrival. - This does not apply to: - passengers arriving from USA; - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers between 12 years and 18 years. They must take an antigen
or RT-PCR test within 48 hours after arrival; - passengers traveling on business with an email confirmation from the Serbian Chamber of Commerce; - passengers in transit for less
than 12 hours; - airline crew; - military personnel traveling on duty.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Serbia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Serbia 34.98 35.91 6,944,975 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Albania 42.93 46.40 2,854,191 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Azerbaijan 46.61 59.04 10,023,318 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 23.10 28.25 3,301,000 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Bulgaria 32.63 35.81 6,975,761 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Armenia 37.57 39.93 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Belarus 50.96 66.17 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Costa Rica 28.27 37.73 5,047,561 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Equatorial Guinea 38.19 41.47 1,355,986 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Georgia 39.73 35.29 3,720,382 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
North Macedonia 33.94 35.72 2,083,459 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.




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