The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

90


United States

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

30


United States

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
65.16
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
63.56
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
70.07
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
61.55
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

78.26

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
328,239,523

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

63170

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers who have transited or have been in Austria, Belgium, Brazil, China (People's Rep.), Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland,
Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Spain, Sweden,
Switzerland or in the United Kingdom (excluding overseas territories outside of Europe), in the past 14 days are not allowed to enter and transit. -This does not apply to: -
nationals and permanent residents of the USA; - spouses of nationals and of permanent residents of the USA. They must have a marriage certificate; - parents/legal guardians of an
unmarried and younger than 21 years national or permanent resident of the USA; - the unmarried and younger than 21 years brother or sister of a national or permanent resident of
the USA, who is unmarried and younger than 21 years; - the child/foster child/ward younger than 21 years of a national or permanent resident of the USA; - passengers with the
following visas: A-1, A-2, C-1, C-1/D, C-2, C-3, CR-1, CR-2, D, E-1 (as an employee of TECRO or TECO or the employee's immediate family members), G-1, G-2, G-3, G-4, IR-1, IR-4,
IH-4, NATO-1 through NATO-4, or NATO-6 visa; - members of the U.S. Armed Forces, spouses, and children of members of the U.S. Armed Forces; - passengers with evidence of traveling
at the invitation of the USA government for a purpose related to the containment/mitigation of the Coronavirus (COVID-19); - passengers with documents issued by the U.S. Department
of Homeland Security, U.S. Customs and Border Protection, or U.S. Department of State indicating that the passenger is exempt from the restriction; - B1 crew crewmembers that are
engaged in lightering, Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) activity, wind farm activity, private air/sea crew and other similar crewmember activities; - students with an F-1 or M-1 visa
and their F-2 and M-2 dependents. They must not arrive from or have been in Brazil, China (People's Rep.) or Iran in the past 14 days.

2. Passengers entering or transiting through the USA must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) viral antigen, NAAT, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR or TMA test
result. The test must have been taken at most 3 days before departure from the first embarkation point. Passengers details (e.g., name and date of birth) in the certificate must
match those stated in the passport or other travel document; and the test result must specify "negative" or "not detected". If marked "invalid" it is not accepted. This does not
apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - US military personnel; - passengers with a medical certificate with a positive Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 90
days before departure from the first embarkation point; and a letter issued by a health authority stating that the passenger has been cleared for travel. The test result must
specify "positive" or "detected", if marked "invalid" it is not accepted.

3. Passengers must complete a disclosure and attestation form before departure. The form can be obtained at
https://www.cdc.gov/quarantine/pdf/attachment-a-global-passenger-disclosure-and-attestation-2021-01-12-p.pdf .

4. Passengers arriving in Massachusetts must complete the "Massachusetts Travel Form" at https://www.mass.gov/forms/massachusetts-travel-form

5. Passengers arriving in New York State must complete the "Traveler Health Form" at https://forms.ny.gov/s3/Welcome-to-New-York-State-Traveler-Health-Form

6. Passports issued to nationals of Belarus which have expired between 30 April 2020 and 31 July 2020, are considered valid with an extension of 3 months.

7. Passengers are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) measures set by the state/territory of their final destination. More information can be found at
www.cdc.gov/publichealthgateway/healthdirectories/healthdepartments.html .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


United States Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

United States 63.56 65.16 328,239,523 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
China 72.44 92.03 1,397,715,000 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Ethiopia 53.88 72.14 112,078,730 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Indonesia 57.85 67.36 270,625,568 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Mexico 47.49 57.30 127,575,529 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Nigeria 54.60 60.15 200,963,599 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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