The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

175


United States

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

149


United States

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
33.31
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
37.61
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
49.43
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
65.32
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

73.91

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
328,239,523

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

63170

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


5. Passports issued to nationals of Belarus which have expired between 30 April 2020 and 31 July 2020, are considered valid with an extension of 3 months.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


United States Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

United States 37.61 33.31 328,239,523 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
China 74.61 86.69 1,397,715,000 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Ethiopia 50.17 56.12 112,078,730 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Indonesia 62.72 68.08 270,625,568 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Mexico 56.77 61.90 127,575,529 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Nigeria 61.75 68.80 200,963,599 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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